St Patricks vs Wexford

TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

St Patricks vs Wexford Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for St Patricks vs Wexford in Ireland FA Cup.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence56%St Patricks to win
Fair odds1.79Based on model probability
Price edge-29.5%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Ireland FA Cup 📅 Friday, 17th July 2026 ⏰ 7:45 pm 📍 Richmond Park (Dublin) ⏳ pending
S
St Patricks
L D W L W
VS
W
Wexford
D L D D L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing St Patricks to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.17
decimal
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance85.5%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-34.5 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, St Patricks to win
@1.17
H2H Over 2.571%
⚔ Head to Head
6
St Patricks
1
Draws
0
Wexford
Supports St Patricks won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
St Patricks Wexford
1.4 Goals / Game 0.8
1 Conceded / Game 1.7
40% Clean Sheets 10%
4-2-4 W-D-L 1-3-6
Win Rate Comparison
40% 10%
📈 Form Ratings
St Patricks
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.7
Wexford
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
02.02.22CF
Wexford
1
St. Patricks
1
17.09.21FAI
St. Patricks
3
Wexford
0
12.01.19CF
Wexford
0
St. Patricks
3
07.10.16PD
St. Patricks
4
Wexford
1
01.08.16PD
Wexford
0
St. Patricks
1
15.04.16PD
St. Patricks
4
Wexford
0
17.08.08FAI
Wexford
1
St. Patricks
3
Recent Results
St Patricks
14.07.26CF
Doncaster
4
St. Patricks
2
L
10.07.26PD
Waterford
1
St. Patricks
1
D
03.07.26PD
St. Patricks
3
Galway
0
W
26.06.26PD
Bohemians
2
St. Patricks
0
L
19.06.26PD
St. Patricks
2
Sligo Rovers
0
W
12.06.26PD
St. Patricks
2
Drogheda
0
W
29.05.26PD
Shamrock Rovers
1
St. Patricks
0
L
22.05.26PD
Derry City
0
St. Patricks
0
D
15.05.26PD
St. Patricks
0
Shelbourne
1
L
08.05.26PD
St. Patricks
4
Waterford
1
W
Wexford
10.07.26DIV
Wexford
2
Kerry
2
D
03.07.26DIV
Finn Harps
1
Wexford
0
L
26.06.26DIV
Wexford
0
Treaty United
0
D
19.06.26DIV
Athlone
2
Wexford
2
D
12.06.26DIV
Wexford
0
Cork City
2
L
29.05.26DIV
Bray
4
Wexford
0
L
22.05.26DIV
Wexford
2
UC Dublin
1
W
15.05.26DIV
Kerry
2
Wexford
1
L
08.05.26DIV
Wexford
1
Longford
2
L
04.05.26DIV
Treaty United
1
Wexford
0
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Friday, 17th July 2026, St Patricks host Wexford at Richmond Park (Dublin) in Ireland FA Cup. Our analysis points to St Patricks to win as the standout bet.

St Patricks come into this showing mixed form, with 4W 2D 4L from 10 matches.

Wexford are struggling away, 1W 3D 6L in 10 games.

H2H: St Patricks won 6 of 7 meetings vs Wexford's 0, 1 draws. BTTS in 43%.

With all factors considered, st patricks to win at 1.17 represents the strongest value angle here.


Here is something worth keeping in mind whenever you stare at a set of odds: the price reflects what the market expects, not what is destined to happen. Markets are sharp — they soak up information fast — but they are not perfect, and football, with its small margins, leaves room for anyone willing to do the work. This Ireland FA Cup fixture is a study in where that room sometimes hides.

The home team’s recent record reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and that is the figure driving their current price. But we asked the harder question: what does this side actually look like right now? We are watching for consistency in how they defend, how quickly they turn defence into attack, and whether their strongest eleven is fit and available. The recent run tells that story far more honestly than any season-long total, and Richmond Park (Dublin) will magnify it.

For the visitors, 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games sits on the board for all to see — but the trend inside that record is the interesting part. Recent away games reveal whether the travelling form is built on early-season momentum that has since faded, or genuine, consistent road quality right up to this week. We trust the recent sample.

With the analysis complete, our recommendation is 1 at @1.17, a call our model settles at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture kicks off at 7:45 pm.

The full set of today’s tips is live on the site, each one worked through the same way — do not miss the rest of the card before you finalise anything.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for St Patricks vs Wexford?
Our pick is 1, St Patricks to win at odds of ~1.17. Our prediction engine gives this a 56% confidence rating.
How has St Patricks performed in their recent matches?
St Patricks heads into this fixture with a record of 4W 2D 4L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Wexford?
Wexford has recorded 1W 3D 6L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between St Patricks and Wexford?
In their last 7 meetings, St Patricks has won 6 times, Wexford has won 0 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.5 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 43% of their previous H2H encounters.
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