MTK Budapest vs Paks

Tip LOST MTK Budapest 0-2 Paks
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

MTK Budapest vs Paks Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for MTK Budapest vs Paks in Hungary NB 1.

Main tipOver 2.5 Goals market
Model confidence82%over 2.5 goals
Fair odds1.22Based on model probability
Price edge+9.5%Positive value if your bookmaker is close to this price
🏆 Hungary NB 1 📅 Friday, 20th March 2026
M
MTK Budapest
D D D L D
0-2
VS
P
Paks
D D L L L
Expert Prediction
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
decimal
Confidence
82%
Strong Pick
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeGoals marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance72.5%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100+13.2 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide17.3%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: Positive value if your bookmaker is close to this price. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
Over 2.5, over 2.5 goals
@1.38
Over 2.5 Goals65% BTTS Yes75% H2H Over 2.570%
⚔ Head to Head
1
MTK Budapest
2
Draws
7
Paks
Supports Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 3.5).
📊 Team Statistics
MTK Budapest Paks
1.4 Goals / Game 1.1
1.9 Conceded / Game 2
20% Clean Sheets 10%
2-4-4 W-D-L 1-2-7
Win Rate Comparison
20% 10%
📈 Form Ratings
MTK Budapest
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.7
Paks
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 38%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 33%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
06.12.25
NBI: Paksi FC
3
MTK Budapest
1
24.08.25
NBI: MTK Budapest
2
Paksi FC
3
11.04.25
NBI: MTK Budapest
1
Paksi FC
2
07.12.24
NBI: Paksi FC
4
MTK Budapest
2
03.12.24
NBI: MTK Budapest
3
Paksi FC
1
03.03.24
NBI: MTK Budapest
0
Paksi FC
2
05.11.23
NBI: Paksi FC
0
MTK Budapest
0
28.07.23
NBI: MTK Budapest
1
Paksi FC
1
16.04.22
NBI: Paksi FC
4
MTK Budapest
0
18.12.21
NBI: MTK Budapest
1
Paksi FC
4
Recent Results
MTK Budapest
13.03.26
NBI: ETO Győr
0
MTK Budapest
0
D
08.03.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
1
DVTK
1
D
27.02.26
NBI: Debrecen
2
MTK Budapest
2
D
23.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
1
Ferencváros
3
L
14.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
2
Puskás Academy
2
D
11.02.26
HC: MTK Budapest
1
Kecskeméti TE
2
L
08.02.26
NBI: Nyíregyháza
4
MTK Budapest
2
L
31.01.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
1
Kazincbarcika
3
L
24.01.26
NBI: Kisvárda
2
MTK Budapest
3
W
17.01.26
CF: MTK Budapest
1
Ajka
0
W
Paks
14.03.26
NBI: Paksi FC
1
Zalaegerszegi
1
D
07.03.26
NBI: Újpest
0
Paksi FC
0
D
28.02.26
NBI: Kisvárda
2
Paksi FC
1
L
22.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
3
ETO Győr
4
L
14.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
1
DVTK
2
L
11.02.26
HC: Paksi FC
2
DVTK
6
L
07.02.26
NBI: Debrecen
1
Paksi FC
0
L
01.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
0
Ferencváros
1
L
24.01.26
NBI: Puskás Academy
1
Paksi FC
2
W
16.01.26
CF: Widzew Łódź
2
Paksi FC
1
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Friday, 20th March 2026, MTK Budapest host Paks in Hungary NB 1. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

MTK Budapest come into this going through a difficult run, with 2W 4D 4L from 10 matches.

Paks are struggling away, 1W 2D 7L in 10 games.

H2H: MTK Budapest won 1 of 10 meetings vs Paks's 7, 2 draws. BTTS in 70%.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this Hungary NB 1 encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is Over 2.5, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.38 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for MTK Budapest vs Paks?
Our pick is Over 2.5, over 2.5 goals at odds of ~1.38. Our prediction engine gives this a 82% confidence rating.
How has MTK Budapest performed in their recent matches?
MTK Budapest heads into this fixture with a record of 2W 4D 4L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Paks?
Paks has recorded 1W 2D 7L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between MTK Budapest and Paks?
In their last 10 meetings, MTK Budapest has won 1 times, Paks has won 7 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.2 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 70% of their previous H2H encounters.
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