Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys

Tip WON Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 FK Panevezys
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys in Lithuania Toplyga.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence52%Kauno Zalgiris to win
Fair odds1.92Based on model probability
Price edge-22.6%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Lithuania Toplyga 📅 Saturday, 11th July 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)
K
Kauno Zalgiris
D D W W L
3-0
VS
F
FK Panevezys
D L L W L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Kauno Zalgiris to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
decimal
Confidence
52%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 20%A 30%
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · GambleAware · GamCare
💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance74.6%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-30.3 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚔ Head to Head
7
Kauno Zalgiris
2
Draws
1
FK Panevezys
Supports Kauno Zalgiris won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Kauno Zalgiris FK Panevezys
1.3 Goals / Game 1.4
0.6 Conceded / Game 1.6
50% Clean Sheets 30%
4-4-2 W-D-L 4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
40% 40%
📈 Form Ratings
Kauno Zalgiris
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
FK Panevezys
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
10.05.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Kauno Zalgiris
1
10.03.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
4
FK Panevezys
0
16.02.26SC
Kauno Zalgiris
1
FK Panevezys
0
02.11.25TL
Kauno Zalgiris
3
FK Panevezys
2
24.08.25TL
FK Panevezys
1
Kauno Zalgiris
0
24.06.25TL
Kauno Zalgiris
3
FK Panevezys
0
19.04.25TL
FK Panevezys
0
Kauno Zalgiris
2
18.01.25CF
Kauno Zalgiris
2
FK Panevezys
0
05.10.24TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
FK Panevezys
0
20.07.24TL
FK Panevezys
1
Kauno Zalgiris
2
Recent Results
Kauno Zalgiris
07.07.26CL
Kauno Zalgiris
1
Drita
1
D
03.07.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai
0
Kauno Zalgiris
0
D
23.06.26CUP
BFA Vilnius
0
Kauno Zalgiris
3
W
20.06.26TL
Transinvest
1
Kauno Zalgiris
2
W
17.06.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Banga
1
L
14.06.26TL
Hegelmann
1
Kauno Zalgiris
1
D
31.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Zalgiris
1
L
23.05.26TL
Suduva
2
Kauno Zalgiris
1
L
19.05.26CUP
Riteriai
0
Kauno Zalgiris
4
W
16.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
FA Siauliai
0
D
FK Panevezys
04.07.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Hegelmann
1
D
29.06.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Suduva
2
L
23.06.26CUP
FK Minija
2
FK Panevezys
1
L
20.06.26TL
FK Panevezys
3
FA Siauliai
2
W
16.06.26TL
Zalgiris
3
FK Panevezys
0
L
12.06.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Transinvest
2
L
30.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai
4
FK Panevezys
0
L
24.05.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Banga
0
W
20.05.26CUP
Atmosfera
0
FK Panevezys
3
W
15.05.26TL
Riteriai
0
FK Panevezys
3
W
Kauno Zalgiris at Home
07.07.26CL
Kauno Zalgiris
1
Drita
1
D
17.06.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Banga
1
L
31.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Zalgiris
1
L
16.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
FA Siauliai
0
D
05.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
2
Dziugas Telsiai
2
D
25.04.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
4
Riteriai
0
W
18.04.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
1
Transinvest
2
L
11.04.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
5
Hegelmann
0
W
21.03.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
1
Suduva
1
D
10.03.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
4
FK Panevezys
0
W
FK Panevezys Away
23.06.26CUP
FK Minija
2
FK Panevezys
1
L
16.06.26TL
Zalgiris
3
FK Panevezys
0
L
30.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai
4
FK Panevezys
0
L
20.05.26CUP
Atmosfera
0
FK Panevezys
3
W
15.05.26TL
Riteriai
0
FK Panevezys
3
W
06.05.26TL
Hegelmann
3
FK Panevezys
2
L
29.04.26CUP
FSK Radviliskis
0
FK Panevezys
2
W
25.04.26TL
Suduva
1
FK Panevezys
0
L
18.04.26TL
FA Siauliai
3
FK Panevezys
1
L
12.04.26TL
Transinvest
1
FK Panevezys
2
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host FK Panevezys at Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas) in Lithuania Toplyga. Our analysis points to Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout bet.

Kauno Zalgiris come into this showing mixed form, with 4W 4D 2L from 10 matches.

FK Panevezys are inconsistent on the road, 4W 1D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: Kauno Zalgiris won 7 of 10 meetings vs FK Panevezys's 1, 2 draws. BTTS in 30%.

With all factors considered, kauno zalgiris to win at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle here.


Here is something worth keeping in mind whenever you stare at a set of odds: the price reflects what the market expects, not what is destined to happen. Markets are sharp — they soak up information fast — but they are not perfect, and football, with its small margins, leaves room for anyone willing to do the work. This Lithuania Toplyga fixture is a study in where that room sometimes hides.

The home team’s recent record reads 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and that is the figure driving their current price. But we asked the harder question: what does this side actually look like right now? We are watching for consistency in how they defend, how quickly they turn defence into attack, and whether their strongest eleven is fit and available. The recent run tells that story far more honestly than any season-long total, and Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas) will magnify it.

For the visitors, 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games sits on the board for all to see — but the trend inside that record is the interesting part. Recent away games reveal whether the travelling form is built on early-season momentum that has since faded, or genuine, consistent road quality right up to this week. We trust the recent sample.

With the analysis complete, our recommendation is 1 at @1.34, a call our model settles at roughly 50,20,30%. The fixture kicks off at 5:00 pm.

The full set of today’s tips is live on the site, each one worked through the same way — do not miss the rest of the card before you finalise anything.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?
Our pick is 1, Kauno Zalgiris to win at odds of ~1.34. Our prediction engine gives this a 52% confidence rating.
How has Kauno Zalgiris performed in their recent matches?
Kauno Zalgiris heads into this fixture with a record of 4W 4D 2L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of FK Panevezys?
FK Panevezys has recorded 4W 1D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Kauno Zalgiris and FK Panevezys?
In their last 10 meetings, Kauno Zalgiris has won 7 times, FK Panevezys has won 1 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.5 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 30% of their previous H2H encounters.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.