Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus

Tip WON Hercilio Luz 1-0 Gremio Juventus
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus in Brazil Catarinense 2.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence55%Hercilio Luz to win
Fair odds1.82Based on model probability
Price edge-25%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Brazil Catarinense 2 📅 Wednesday, 15th July 2026 ⏰ 11:30 pm 📍 N/A
H
Hercilio Luz
W W W W W
1-0
VS
G
Gremio Juventus
W D W L L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Hercilio Luz to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
decimal
Confidence
55%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance80%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-31.3 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

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Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Hercilio Luz to win
@1.25
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS No70%
⚔ Head to Head
2
Hercilio Luz
1
Draws
3
Gremio Juventus
Against Hercilio Luz won 2 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Hercilio Luz Gremio Juventus
2 Goals / Game 1.1
0.7 Conceded / Game 1.2
50% Clean Sheets 20%
8-1-1 W-D-L 3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
80% 30%
📈 Form Ratings
Hercilio Luz
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
Gremio Juventus
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 47%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 44%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
24.05.26CAT2
Gremio Juventus
0
Hercilio Luz
1
23.01.22CAT
Hercilio Luz
1
Gremio Juventus
0
07.11.21CSC
Hercilio Luz
1
Gremio Juventus
2
04.11.21CSC
Gremio Juventus
1
Hercilio Luz
1
28.10.21CSC
Gremio Juventus
3
Hercilio Luz
1
03.03.21CAT
Gremio Juventus
2
Hercilio Luz
0
Recent Results
Hercilio Luz
12.07.26CAT2
Blumenau
0
Hercilio Luz
2
W
04.07.26CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
1
Hercilio Luz
2
W
28.06.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
4
Fluminense-SC
2
W
21.06.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
3
Metropolitano
0
W
14.06.26CAT2
Jaragua-SC
0
Hercilio Luz
2
W
07.06.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
2
Nacao
1
W
31.05.26CAT2
Caravaggio
2
Hercilio Luz
2
D
27.05.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
2
Tubarao
0
W
24.05.26CAT2
Gremio Juventus
0
Hercilio Luz
1
W
13.05.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
0
Blumenau
1
L
Gremio Juventus
12.07.26CAT2
Gremio Juventus
1
Guarani de Palhoca
0
W
08.07.26CAT2
Blumenau
1
Gremio Juventus
1
D
04.07.26CAT2
Gremio Juventus
8
Jaragua-SC
1
W
21.06.26CAT2
Gremio Juventus
0
Tubarao
2
L
17.06.26CAT2
Nacao
1
Gremio Juventus
0
L
07.06.26CAT2
Gremio Juventus
0
Caravaggio
3
L
30.05.26CAT2
Metropolitano
2
Gremio Juventus
0
L
28.05.26CAT2
Fluminense-SC
0
Gremio Juventus
1
W
24.05.26CAT2
Gremio Juventus
0
Hercilio Luz
1
L
16.05.26CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
1
Gremio Juventus
0
L
Hercilio Luz at Home
28.06.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
4
Fluminense-SC
2
W
21.06.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
3
Metropolitano
0
W
07.06.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
2
Nacao
1
W
27.05.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
2
Tubarao
0
W
13.05.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
0
Blumenau
1
L
10.05.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
6
Guarani de Palhoca
0
W
28.04.26CAT2
Hercilio Luz
4
Jaragua-SC
1
W
20.02.25CAT
Hercilio Luz
0
Criciuma
1
L
16.02.25CAT
Hercilio Luz
2
Chapecoense-SC
2
D
14.02.25CAT
Hercilio Luz
2
Joinville
1
W
Gremio Juventus Away
08.07.26CAT2
Blumenau
1
Gremio Juventus
1
D
17.06.26CAT2
Nacao
1
Gremio Juventus
0
L
30.05.26CAT2
Metropolitano
2
Gremio Juventus
0
L
28.05.26CAT2
Fluminense-SC
0
Gremio Juventus
1
W
16.05.26CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
1
Gremio Juventus
0
L
10.05.26CAT2
Jaragua-SC
0
Gremio Juventus
1
W
01.05.26CAT2
Tubarao
4
Gremio Juventus
0
L
30.07.25CAT2
Camboriu
1
Gremio Juventus
1
D
05.07.25CAT2
Blumenau
1
Gremio Juventus
0
L
29.06.25CAT2
Nacao
0
Gremio Juventus
0
D
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Hercilio Luz host Gremio Juventus at N/A in Brazil Catarinense 2. Our analysis points to Hercilio Luz to win as the standout bet.

Hercilio Luz come into this in strong form, with 8W 1D 1L from 10 matches.

Gremio Juventus are struggling away, 3W 1D 6L in 10 games.

H2H: Hercilio Luz won 2 of 6 meetings vs Gremio Juventus's 3, 1 draws. BTTS in 50%.

With all factors considered, hercilio luz to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle here.


Here is something worth keeping in mind whenever you stare at a set of odds: the price reflects what the market expects, not what is destined to happen. Markets are sharp — they soak up information fast — but they are not perfect, and football, with its small margins, leaves room for anyone willing to do the work. This Brazil Catarinense 2 fixture is a study in where that room sometimes hides.

The home team’s recent record reads 5 wins from their last 5 games, and that is the figure driving their current price. But we asked the harder question: what does this side actually look like right now? We are watching for consistency in how they defend, how quickly they turn defence into attack, and whether their strongest eleven is fit and available. The recent run tells that story far more honestly than any season-long total, and N/A will magnify it.

For the visitors, 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games sits on the board for all to see — but the trend inside that record is the interesting part. Recent away games reveal whether the travelling form is built on early-season momentum that has since faded, or genuine, consistent road quality right up to this week. We trust the recent sample.

With the analysis complete, our recommendation is 1 at @1.25, a call our model settles at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture kicks off at 11:30 pm.

The full set of today’s tips is live on the site, each one worked through the same way — do not miss the rest of the card before you finalise anything.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus?
Our pick is 1, Hercilio Luz to win at odds of ~1.25. Our prediction engine gives this a 55% confidence rating.
How has Hercilio Luz performed in their recent matches?
Hercilio Luz heads into this fixture with a record of 8W 1D 1L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Gremio Juventus?
Gremio Juventus has recorded 3W 1D 6L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Hercilio Luz and Gremio Juventus?
In their last 6 meetings, Hercilio Luz has won 2 times, Gremio Juventus has won 3 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.5 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 50% of their previous H2H encounters.
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