Hearts vs Falkirk

Tip WON Hearts 3-0 Falkirk
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Hearts vs Falkirk Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Hearts vs Falkirk in Scotland Premiership.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence58%Hearts to win
Fair odds1.72Based on model probability
Price edge-13.4%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Scotland Premiership 📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026
H
Hearts
D W W W D
3-0
VS
F
Falkirk
L W L L L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Hearts to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
decimal
Confidence
58%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · GambleAware · GamCare
💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance71.4%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-18.8 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Hearts to win
@1.40
BTTS Yes70%
⚔ Head to Head
7
Hearts
0
Draws
3
Falkirk
Supports Hearts won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Hearts Falkirk
1.5 Goals / Game 1.8
1.1 Conceded / Game 2
30% Clean Sheets 10%
6-2-2 W-D-L 4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
60% 40%
📈 Form Ratings
Hearts
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Falkirk
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
3.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
21.02.26PRE
Hearts
1
Falkirk
0
17.01.26SC
Hearts
1
Falkirk (aet)
2
13.12.25PRE
Falkirk
0
Hearts
2
27.09.25PRE
Hearts
3
Falkirk
0
17.08.24LC
Falkirk
2
Hearts
0
08.02.20SC
Falkirk
0
Hearts
1
21.03.15CHA
Falkirk
0
Hearts
3
24.01.15CHA
Hearts
2
Falkirk
3
15.11.14CHA
Falkirk
1
Hearts
2
30.08.14CHA
Hearts
4
Falkirk
1
Recent Results
Hearts
09.05.26PRE
Motherwell
1
Hearts
1
D
04.05.26PRE
Hearts
2
Rangers
1
W
26.04.26PRE
Hibernian
1
Hearts
2
W
11.04.26PRE
Hearts
3
Motherwell
1
W
05.04.26PRE
Livingston
2
Hearts
2
D
21.03.26PRE
Hearts
1
Dundee FC
0
W
14.03.26PRE
Kilmarnock
1
Hearts
0
L
28.02.26PRE
Hearts
1
Aberdeen
0
W
21.02.26PRE
Hearts
1
Falkirk
0
W
15.02.26PRE
Rangers
4
Hearts
2
L
Falkirk
09.05.26PRE
Falkirk
1
Hibernian
3
L
02.05.26PRE
Falkirk
1
Motherwell
0
W
25.04.26PRE
Celtic
3
Falkirk
1
L
18.04.26SC
Dunfermline
1
Falkirk
0
L
12.04.26PRE
Falkirk
3
Rangers
6
L
04.04.26PRE
Motherwell
2
Falkirk
3
W
21.03.26PRE
Falkirk
1
St. Mirren
2
L
14.03.26PRE
Aberdeen
1
Falkirk
1
D
06.03.26SC
Falkirk
2
Dundee Utd
1
W
28.02.26PRE
Falkirk
5
Kilmarnock
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Hearts host Falkirk in Scotland Premiership. Our analysis points to Hearts to win as the standout bet.

Hearts come into this showing mixed form, with 6W 2D 2L from 10 matches.

Falkirk are inconsistent on the road, 4W 1D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: Hearts won 7 of 10 meetings vs Falkirk's 3, 0 draws. BTTS in 40%.

With all factors considered, hearts to win at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this Scotland Premiership encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is 1, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.40 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Hearts vs Falkirk?
Our pick is 1, Hearts to win at odds of ~1.40. Our prediction engine gives this a 58% confidence rating.
How has Hearts performed in their recent matches?
Hearts heads into this fixture with a record of 6W 2D 2L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Falkirk?
Falkirk has recorded 4W 1D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Hearts and Falkirk?
In their last 10 meetings, Hearts has won 7 times, Falkirk has won 3 times, and there have been 0 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.2 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 40% of their previous H2H encounters.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.