Botafogo vs Chapecoense

Tip WON Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Botafogo vs Chapecoense Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Botafogo vs Chapecoense in Copa Do Brasil.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence53%Botafogo to win
Fair odds1.89Based on model probability
Price edge-17.4%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Copa Do Brasil 📅 Tuesday, 21st April 2026
B
Botafogo
W W D D W
1-0
VS
C
Chapecoense
L D L W D
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Botafogo to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.42
decimal
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance70.4%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-24.7 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

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Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Botafogo to win
@1.42
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
⚔ Head to Head
6
Botafogo
1
Draws
3
Chapecoense
Supports Botafogo won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Botafogo Chapecoense
1.9 Goals / Game 0.6
1.9 Conceded / Game 1.6
0% Clean Sheets 20%
5-2-3 W-D-L 2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
50% 20%
📈 Form Ratings
Botafogo
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
3.7
Chapecoense
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
18.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
1
Botafogo RJ
4
27.11.19
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
0
Botafogo RJ
1
27.08.19
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
0
Chapecoense-SC
0
15.11.18
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
0
Botafogo RJ
1
26.07.18
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
1
Chapecoense-SC
0
11.10.17
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
2
Chapecoense-SC
1
18.06.17
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
0
Botafogo RJ
2
16.11.16
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
0
Chapecoense-SC
2
24.07.16
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
2
Botafogo RJ
1
23.11.14
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
2
Botafogo RJ
0
Recent Results
Botafogo
18.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
1
Botafogo RJ - W
4
15.04.26
 (COP) Racing Club
2
Botafogo RJ - W
3
12.04.26
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
2
Coritiba - D
2
09.04.26
 (COP) Botafogo RJ
1
Caracas - D
1
05.04.26
 (SA) Vasco
1
Botafogo RJ - W
2
01.04.26
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
3
Mirassol - W
2
29.03.26
 (SA) Athletico-PR
4
Botafogo RJ - L
1
21.03.26
 (SA) Bragantino
1
Botafogo RJ - W
2
18.03.26
 (SA) Palmeiras
2
Botafogo RJ - L
1
15.03.26
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
0
Flamengo RJ - L
3
Chapecoense
18.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
1
Botafogo RJ - L
4
16.04.26
 (CSS) Juventude
0
Chapecoense-SC - D
0
12.04.26
 (SA) Athletico-PR
2
Chapecoense-SC - L
0
08.04.26
 (CSS) Chapecoense-SC
2
Avaí - W
1
05.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
1
Vitória - D
1
02.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
0
Atlético-MG - L
4
28.03.26
 (CSS) Volta Redonda
1
Chapecoense-SC - L
0
26.03.26
 (CSS) Chapecoense-SC
2
São Bernardo - W
1
22.03.26
 (SA) Internacional
2
Chapecoense-SC - L
0
20.03.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
0
Corinthians - D
0
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Botafogo host Chapecoense in Copa Do Brasil. Our analysis points to Botafogo to win as the standout bet.

Botafogo come into this showing mixed form, with 5W 2D 3L from 10 matches.

Chapecoense are struggling away, 2W 3D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: Botafogo won 6 of 10 meetings vs Chapecoense's 3, 1 draws. BTTS in 30%.

With all factors considered, botafogo to win at 1.42 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this Copa Do Brasil encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is 1, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.42 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Botafogo vs Chapecoense?
Our pick is 1, Botafogo to win at odds of ~1.42. Our prediction engine gives this a 53% confidence rating.
How has Botafogo performed in their recent matches?
Botafogo heads into this fixture with a record of 5W 2D 3L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Chapecoense?
Chapecoense has recorded 2W 3D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Botafogo and Chapecoense?
In their last 10 meetings, Botafogo has won 6 times, Chapecoense has won 3 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 30% of their previous H2H encounters.
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