Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia

TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia in Bulgaria EFBET League.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence64%Levski Sofia to win
Fair odds1.56Based on model probability
Price edge-18.6%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Bulgaria EFBET League 📅 Saturday, 1st August 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) ⏳ pending
L
Levski Sofia
D W W W W
VS
S
Septemvri Sofia
L D L W L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Levski Sofia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.21
decimal
Confidence
64%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance82.6%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-22.6 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Levski Sofia to win
@1.21
Over 1.5 Goals85%
⚔ Head to Head
8
Levski Sofia
2
Draws
0
Septemvri Sofia
Supports Levski Sofia won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Levski Sofia Septemvri Sofia
2.8 Goals / Game 1.6
0.6 Conceded / Game 0.9
50% Clean Sheets 30%
7-3-0 W-D-L 6-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
70% 60%
📈 Form Ratings
Levski Sofia
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.3
Defence
8.0
Septemvri Sofia
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
30.11.251L
Levski Sofia
7
Septemvri Sofia
0
27.07.251L
Septemvri Sofia
1
Levski Sofia
2
21.04.251L
Septemvri Sofia
0
Levski Sofia
1
09.11.241L
Levski Sofia
2
Septemvri Sofia
3
29.06.24CF
Levski Sofia
5
Septemvri Sofia
0
04.05.231L
Levski Sofia
2
Septemvri Sofia
0
07.02.23CF
Septemvri Sofia
1
Levski Sofia
4
16.10.221L
Septemvri Sofia
0
Levski Sofia
0
18.06.22CF
Levski Sofia
1
Septemvri Sofia
1
30.03.22CF
Levski Sofia
3
Septemvri Sofia
2
Recent Results
Levski Sofia
29.07.26CL
Univ. Craiova
2
Levski Sofia
2
D
25.07.261L
Lok. Sofia
1
Levski Sofia
2
W
22.07.26CL
Levski Sofia
1
Univ. Craiova
0
W
17.07.261L
Levski Sofia
2
Dunav Ruse
1
W
14.07.26CL
Levski Sofia
4
Borac Banja Luka
0
W
07.07.26CL
Borac Banja Luka
1
Levski Sofia
1
D
30.06.26CF
Levski Sofia
5
Radnik
0
W
27.06.26CF
Levski Sofia
1
Botev Vratsa
1
D
23.06.26CF
Levski Sofia
6
Etar
0
W
19.06.26CF
Levski Sofia
4
Akademik Svishtov
0
W
Septemvri Sofia
26.07.261L
Lok. Plovdiv
2
Septemvri Sofia
1
L
18.07.261L
Septemvri Sofia
1
Arda
1
D
10.07.26CF
Ludogorets
1
Septemvri Sofia
0
L
07.07.26CF
Septemvri Sofia
2
Hebar
1
W
04.07.26CF
Septemvri Sofia
2
Slavia Sofia
3
L
01.07.26CF
Septemvri Sofia
2
Vihren
0
W
27.06.26CF
Septemvri Sofia
3
Marek
0
W
28.05.261L
Septemvri Sofia
2
Yantra Gabrovo
1
W
22.05.261L
Septemvri Sofia
1
Dobrudzha
1
D
18.05.261L
Beroe
0
Septemvri Sofia
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Levski Sofia host Septemvri Sofia at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) in Bulgaria EFBET League. Our analysis points to Levski Sofia to win as the standout bet.

Levski Sofia come into this in strong form, with 7W 3D 0L from 10 matches.

Septemvri Sofia are inconsistent on the road, 6W 2D 2L in 10 games.

H2H: Levski Sofia won 8 of 10 meetings vs Septemvri Sofia's 0, 2 draws. BTTS in 50%.

With all factors considered, levski sofia to win at 1.21 represents the strongest value angle here.


Here is something worth keeping in mind whenever you stare at a set of odds: the price reflects what the market expects, not what is destined to happen. Markets are sharp — they soak up information fast — but they are not perfect, and football, with its small margins, leaves room for anyone willing to do the work. This Bulgaria EFBET League fixture is a study in where that room sometimes hides.

The home team’s recent record reads 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and that is the figure driving their current price. But we asked the harder question: what does this side actually look like right now? We are watching for consistency in how they defend, how quickly they turn defence into attack, and whether their strongest eleven is fit and available. The recent run tells that story far more honestly than any season-long total, and Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) will magnify it.

For the visitors, 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games sits on the board for all to see — but the trend inside that record is the interesting part. Recent away games reveal whether the travelling form is built on early-season momentum that has since faded, or genuine, consistent road quality right up to this week. We trust the recent sample.

With the analysis complete, our recommendation is 1 at @1.21, a call our model settles at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture kicks off at 5:00 pm.

The full set of today’s tips is live on the site, each one worked through the same way — do not miss the rest of the card before you finalise anything.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is 1, Levski Sofia to win at odds of ~1.21. Our prediction engine gives this a 64% confidence rating.
How has Levski Sofia performed in their recent matches?
Levski Sofia heads into this fixture with a record of 7W 3D 0L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Septemvri Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia has recorded 6W 2D 2L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Levski Sofia and Septemvri Sofia?
In their last 10 meetings, Levski Sofia has won 8 times, Septemvri Sofia has won 0 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 50% of their previous H2H encounters.
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