Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng in China FA Cup.

Main tip1X Result market
Model confidence90%Shanghai Port to win or draw
Fair odds1.11Based on model probability
Price edge+3%Small value margin, stake with discipline
🏆 China FA Cup 📅 Tuesday, 21st July 2026 ⏰ 12:00 pm 📍 Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai) ⏳ pending
S
Shanghai Port
D L W W L
VS
S
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
L W L L W
Expert Prediction
1X
Backing Shanghai Port to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.15
decimal
Confidence
90%
Strong Pick
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance87%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100+3.5 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide11.7%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: Small value margin, stake with discipline. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

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Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1X, Shanghai Port to win or draw
@1.15
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS Yes75%
⚔ Head to Head
4
Shanghai Port
1
Draws
0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Mixed Not enough H2H data.
📊 Team Statistics
Shanghai Port Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.6 Goals / Game 1.5
1.5 Conceded / Game 1.6
10% Clean Sheets 10%
3-5-2 W-D-L 4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
30% 40%
📈 Form Ratings
Shanghai Port
Overall
4.5
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
06.05.26SL
Shanghai Port
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
30.06.25SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
Shanghai Port
2
23.02.25SL
Shanghai Port
3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
13.09.24SL
Shanghai Port
2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
05.05.24SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
Shanghai Port
6
Recent Results
Shanghai Port
17.07.26SL
Yunnan Yukun
2
Shanghai Port
2
D
04.07.26SL
Qingdao West Coast
2
Shanghai Port
1
L
27.06.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
1
Shanghai Port
2
W
19.06.26FAC
Shanghai Second
1
Shanghai Port
2
W
29.05.26SL
Liaoning Tieren
3
Shanghai Port
2
L
23.05.26SL
Shanghai Port
1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1
D
19.05.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
0
Shanghai Port
1
W
15.05.26SL
Shanghai Port
2
Zhejiang Professional
2
D
10.05.26SL
Beijing Guoan
2
Shanghai Port
2
D
06.05.26SL
Shanghai Port
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
D
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
18.07.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns
2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
L
11.07.26SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3
Qingdao West Coast
0
W
04.07.26SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
L
27.06.26SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2
Chengdu Rongcheng
3
L
19.06.26FAC
Shenzhen Juniors
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3
W
30.05.26SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3
Qingdao Hainiu
2
W
24.05.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2
W
19.05.26SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
Dalian Yingbo
1
D
15.05.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
L
10.05.26SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
Shandong Taishan
2
L
Shanghai Port at Home
23.05.26SL
Shanghai Port
1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1
D
15.05.26SL
Shanghai Port
2
Zhejiang Professional
2
D
06.05.26SL
Shanghai Port
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
D
25.04.26SL
Shanghai Port
4
Wuhan Three Towns
0
W
21.04.26SL
Shanghai Port
1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2
L
04.04.26SL
Shanghai Port
2
Yunnan Yukun
1
W
15.03.26SL
Shanghai Port
4
Qingdao West Coast
1
W
07.03.26SL
Shanghai Port
1
Henan Songshan Longmen
2
L
01.03.26SC
Shanghai Port
0
Beijing Guoan
2
L
18.02.26CL
Shanghai Port
0
Ulsan HD
0
D
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Away
18.07.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns
2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
L
04.07.26SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
L
19.06.26FAC
Shenzhen Juniors
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3
W
24.05.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2
W
15.05.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
L
06.05.26SL
Shanghai Port
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
D
02.05.26SL
Zhejiang Professional
2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
L
17.04.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
L
21.03.26SL
Qingdao West Coast
1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0
L
06.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng
5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Shanghai Port host Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai) in China FA Cup. Our analysis points to Shanghai Port to win or draw as the standout bet.

Shanghai Port come into this going through a difficult run, with 3W 5D 2L from 10 matches.

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng are inconsistent on the road, 4W 1D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: Shanghai Port won 4 of 5 meetings vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's 0, 1 draws. BTTS in 60%.

With all factors considered, shanghai port to win or draw at 1.15 represents the strongest value angle here.


Here is something worth keeping in mind whenever you stare at a set of odds: the price reflects what the market expects, not what is destined to happen. Markets are sharp — they soak up information fast — but they are not perfect, and football, with its small margins, leaves room for anyone willing to do the work. This China FA Cup fixture is a study in where that room sometimes hides.

The home team’s recent record reads 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and that is the figure driving their current price. But we asked the harder question: what does this side actually look like right now? We are watching for consistency in how they defend, how quickly they turn defence into attack, and whether their strongest eleven is fit and available. The recent run tells that story far more honestly than any season-long total, and Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai) will magnify it.

For the visitors, 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games sits on the board for all to see — but the trend inside that record is the interesting part. Recent away games reveal whether the travelling form is built on early-season momentum that has since faded, or genuine, consistent road quality right up to this week. We trust the recent sample.

With the analysis complete, our recommendation is 1X at @1.15, a call our model settles at roughly 90%. The fixture kicks off at 12:00 pm.

The full set of today’s tips is live on the site, each one worked through the same way — do not miss the rest of the card before you finalise anything.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
Our pick is 1X, Shanghai Port to win or draw at odds of ~1.15. Our prediction engine gives this a 90% confidence rating.
How has Shanghai Port performed in their recent matches?
Shanghai Port heads into this fixture with a record of 3W 5D 2L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng has recorded 4W 1D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Shanghai Port and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
In their last 5 meetings, Shanghai Port has won 4 times, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng has won 0 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.1 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 60% of their previous H2H encounters.
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