Sweden vs Greece

Tip WON Sweden 2-2 Greece
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Sweden vs Greece Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Sweden vs Greece in International Friendly.

Main tipOver 1.5 Goals market
Model confidence90%over 1.5 goals
Fair odds1.11Based on model probability
Price edge+13.7%Positive value if your bookmaker is close to this price
🏆 International Friendly 📅 Thursday, 4th June 2026
S
Sweden
L W W D L
2-2
VS
G
Greece
D L D W L
Expert Prediction
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
decimal
Confidence
90%
Strong Pick
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · GambleAware · GamCare
💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeGoals marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance76.3%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100+17.9 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide28.9%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: Positive value if your bookmaker is close to this price. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
Over 1.5, over 1.5 goals
@1.31
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
⚔ Head to Head
3
Sweden
1
Draws
2
Greece
Supports Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H meetings (avg 3.8).
📊 Team Statistics
Sweden Greece
1.5 Goals / Game 1.8
2.1 Conceded / Game 1.4
0% Clean Sheets 30%
3-2-5 W-D-L 4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
30% 40%
📈 Form Ratings
Sweden
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.0
Greece
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
12.10.21WC
Sweden
2
Greece
0
08.09.21WC
Greece
2
Sweden
1
10.06.08EUR
Greece
0
Sweden
2
20.08.03FI
Sweden
1
Greece
2
13.02.02FI
Greece
2
Sweden
2
28.08.20OG
Sweden
9
Greece
0
Recent Results
Sweden
01.06.26FI
Norway
3
Sweden
1
L
31.03.26WC
Sweden
3
Poland
2
W
26.03.26WC
Ukraine
1
Sweden
3
W
18.11.25WC
Sweden
1
Slovenia
1
D
15.11.25WC
Switzerland
4
Sweden
1
L
13.10.25WC
Sweden
0
Kosovo
1
L
10.10.25WC
Sweden
0
Switzerland
2
L
08.09.25WC
Kosovo
2
Sweden
0
L
05.09.25WC
Slovenia
2
Sweden
2
D
10.06.25FI
Sweden
4
Algeria
3
W
Greece
31.03.26FI
Hungary
0
Greece
0
D
27.03.26FI
Greece
0
Paraguay
1
L
18.11.25WC
Belarus
0
Greece
0
D
15.11.25WC
Greece
3
Scotland
2
W
12.10.25WC
Denmark
3
Greece
1
L
09.10.25WC
Scotland
3
Greece
1
L
08.09.25WC
Greece
0
Denmark
3
L
05.09.25WC
Greece
5
Belarus
1
W
10.06.25FI
Greece
4
Bulgaria
0
W
07.06.25FI
Greece
4
Slovakia
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Thursday, 4th June 2026, Sweden host Greece in International Friendly. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

Sweden come into this going through a difficult run, with 3W 2D 5L from 10 matches.

Greece are inconsistent on the road, 4W 2D 4L in 10 games.

H2H: Sweden won 3 of 6 meetings vs Greece's 2, 1 draws. BTTS in 50%.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this International Friendly encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is Over 1.5, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.31 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Sweden vs Greece?
Our pick is Over 1.5, over 1.5 goals at odds of ~1.31. Our prediction engine gives this a 90% confidence rating.
How has Sweden performed in their recent matches?
Sweden heads into this fixture with a record of 3W 2D 5L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Greece?
Greece has recorded 4W 2D 4L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Sweden and Greece?
In their last 6 meetings, Sweden has won 3 times, Greece has won 2 times, and there have been 1 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.4 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 50% of their previous H2H encounters.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.