Celtic vs Dunfermline

Tip WON Celtic 3-1 Dunfermline
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Celtic vs Dunfermline Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Celtic vs Dunfermline in Scottish Cup.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence78%Celtic to win
Fair odds1.28Based on model probability
Price edge-6%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Scottish Cup 📅 Saturday, 23rd May 2026
C
Celtic
W W W W W
3-1
VS
D
Dunfermline
L D D W D
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Celtic to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.19
decimal
Confidence
78%
Strong Pick
H 60%D 20%A 20%
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · GambleAware · GamCare
💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance84%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-7.2 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Celtic to win
@1.19
H2H Over 2.570%
⚔ Head to Head
10
Celtic
0
Draws
0
Dunfermline
Supports Celtic won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Celtic Dunfermline
2.6 Goals / Game 0.8
1.2 Conceded / Game 0.9
10% Clean Sheets 50%
9-0-1 W-D-L 3-4-3
Win Rate Comparison
90% 30%
📈 Form Ratings
Celtic
Overall
9.0
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Dunfermline
Overall
4.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
17.08.19LC
Celtic
2
(a.e.t. 1-1) Dunfermline
1
22.02.12PRE
Celtic
2
Dunfermline
0
02.01.12PRE
Dunfermline
0
Celtic
3
23.11.11PRE
Celtic
2
Dunfermline
1
07.02.10SC
Dunfermline
2
Celtic
4
26.05.07SC
Celtic
1
Dunfermline
0
03.03.07PRE
Celtic
2
Dunfermline
1
10.12.06PRE
Dunfermline
1
Celtic
2
16.09.06PRE
Celtic
1
Dunfermline
0
19.03.06LC
Dunfermline
0
Celtic
3
Recent Results
Celtic
16.05.26PRE
Celtic
3
Hearts
1
W
13.05.26PRE
Motherwell
2
Celtic
3
W
10.05.26PRE
Celtic
3
Rangers
1
W
03.05.26PRE
Hibernian
1
Celtic
2
W
25.04.26PRE
Celtic
3
Falkirk
1
W
19.04.26SC
Celtic
6
St. Mirren
2
W
11.04.26PRE
Celtic
1
St. Mirren
0
W
05.04.26PRE
Dundee FC
1
Celtic
2
W
22.03.26PRE
Dundee Utd
2
Celtic
0
L
14.03.26PRE
Celtic
3
Motherwell
1
W
Dunfermline
15.05.26PRE
Partick Thistle
2
Dunfermline
1
L
12.05.26PRE
Dunfermline
1
Partick Thistle
1
D
08.05.26PRE
Arbroath
0
Dunfermline
0
D
05.05.26PRE
Dunfermline
1
Arbroath
0
W
01.05.26CHA
Dunfermline
0
Arbroath
0
D
25.04.26CHA
Queen’s Park
0
Dunfermline
2
W
21.04.26CHA
Dunfermline
0
St Johnstone
2
L
18.04.26SC
Dunfermline
1
(a.e.t. 0-0) Falkirk
0
W
14.04.26CHA
Airdrieonians
2
Dunfermline
2
D
11.04.26CHA
Partick Thistle
2
Dunfermline
0
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Celtic host Dunfermline in Scottish Cup. Our analysis points to Celtic to win as the standout bet.

Celtic come into this in strong form, with 9W 0D 1L from 10 matches.

Dunfermline are struggling away, 3W 4D 3L in 10 games.

H2H: Celtic won 10 of 10 meetings vs Dunfermline's 0, 0 draws. BTTS in 50%.

With all factors considered, celtic to win at 1.19 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this Scottish Cup encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is 1, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.19 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Celtic vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is 1, Celtic to win at odds of ~1.19. Our prediction engine gives this a 78% confidence rating.
How has Celtic performed in their recent matches?
Celtic heads into this fixture with a record of 9W 0D 1L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Dunfermline?
Dunfermline has recorded 3W 4D 3L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Celtic and Dunfermline?
In their last 10 meetings, Celtic has won 10 times, Dunfermline has won 0 times, and there have been 0 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.8 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 50% of their previous H2H encounters.
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