Linfield vs Dungannon

Tip WON Linfield 3-1 Dungannon
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Linfield vs Dungannon Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Linfield vs Dungannon in NIFL Premiership.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence52%Linfield to win
Fair odds1.92Based on model probability
Price edge-18.9%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 NIFL Premiership 📅 Tuesday, 12th May 2026
L
Linfield
L L L W D
3-1
VS
D
Dungannon
W W L L L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Linfield to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.41
decimal
Confidence
52%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance70.9%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-26.7 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Linfield to win
@1.41
Over 1.5 Goals85% H2H Over 2.570%
⚔ Head to Head
8
Linfield
0
Draws
2
Dungannon
Supports Linfield won 8 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Linfield Dungannon
1 Goals / Game 1.1
1.5 Conceded / Game 2.6
10% Clean Sheets 0%
3-2-5 W-D-L 3-0-7
Win Rate Comparison
30% 30%
📈 Form Ratings
Linfield
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
Dungannon
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
1.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon
1
Linfield
3
17.02.26NIFL
Dungannon
1
Linfield
4
10.02.26NIFL
Linfield
6
Dungannon
0
10.08.25NIFL
Linfield
3
Dungannon
0
04.07.25CHA
Linfield
0
Dungannon
1
12.04.25NIFL
Linfield
2
Dungannon
0
24.03.25NIFL
Dungannon
0
Linfield
3
17.12.24NIFL
Dungannon
0
Linfield
1
17.08.24NIFL
Linfield
3
Dungannon
1
27.01.24NIFL
Linfield
1
Dungannon
2
Recent Results
Linfield
25.04.26NIFL
Linfield
1
Cliftonville
2
L
18.04.26NIFL
Linfield
0
Coleraine
3
L
11.04.26NIFL
Linfield
0
Larne
2
L
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon
1
Linfield
3
W
28.03.26NIFL
Glentoran
1
Linfield
1
D
20.03.26NIFL
Carrick Rangers
2
Linfield
0
L
15.03.26LC
Glentoran
0
Linfield
1
W
10.03.26NIFL
Linfield
3
Portadown
1
W
01.03.26NIFL
Cliftonville
2
Linfield
0
L
24.02.26NIFL
Larne
1
Linfield
1
D
Dungannon
09.05.26NIFL
Cliftonville
1
Dungannon
2
W
06.05.26NIFL
Dungannon
3
Carrick Rangers
1
W
02.05.26CUP
Dungannon
2
Coleraine
3
L
25.04.26NIFL
Larne
8
Dungannon
0
L
18.04.26NIFL
Cliftonville
1
Dungannon
0
L
11.04.26NIFL
Glentoran
5
Dungannon
0
L
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon
1
Linfield
3
L
03.04.26CUP
Cliftonville
1
Dungannon
2
W
28.03.26NIFL
Dungannon
1
Coleraine
2
L
21.03.26NIFL
Dungannon
0
Bangor FC
1
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, Linfield host Dungannon in NIFL Premiership. Our analysis points to Linfield to win as the standout bet.

Linfield come into this going through a difficult run, with 3W 2D 5L from 10 matches.

Dungannon are struggling away, 3W 0D 7L in 10 games.

H2H: Linfield won 8 of 10 meetings vs Dungannon's 2, 0 draws. BTTS in 40%.

With all factors considered, linfield to win at 1.41 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this NIFL Premiership encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is 1, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.41 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Linfield vs Dungannon?
Our pick is 1, Linfield to win at odds of ~1.41. Our prediction engine gives this a 52% confidence rating.
How has Linfield performed in their recent matches?
Linfield heads into this fixture with a record of 3W 2D 5L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Dungannon?
Dungannon has recorded 3W 0D 7L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Linfield and Dungannon?
In their last 10 meetings, Linfield has won 8 times, Dungannon has won 2 times, and there have been 0 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.1 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 40% of their previous H2H encounters.
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