Al Ahli SC vs Al Fateh

Tip WON Al Ahli SC 3-1 Al Fateh
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Al Ahli SC vs Al Fateh Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Al Ahli SC vs Al Fateh in Saudi Professional League.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence48%Al Ahli SC to win
Fair odds2.08Based on model probability
Price edge-27.2%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Saudi Professional League 📅 Wednesday, 6th May 2026
A
Al Ahli SC
W L W W W
3-1
VS
A
Al Fateh
D D W L L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Al Ahli SC to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.33
decimal
Confidence
48%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance75.2%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-36.2 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

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Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Al Ahli SC to win
@1.33
Over 1.5 Goals85%
⚔ Head to Head
3
Al Ahli SC
2
Draws
5
Al Fateh
Against Al Ahli SC won 3 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Al Ahli SC Al Fateh
3.5 Goals / Game 1.2
1 Conceded / Game 1.6
40% Clean Sheets 10%
6-1-3 W-D-L 2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
60% 20%
📈 Form Ratings
Al Ahli SC
Overall
6.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.7
Al Fateh
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
26.12.25SPL
Al Fateh
2
Al Ahli SC
1
07.02.25SPL
Al Ahli SC
2
Al Fateh
0
27.08.24SPL
Al Fateh
1
Al Ahli SC
0
02.03.24SPL
Al Ahli SC
1
Al Fateh
1
02.09.23SPL
Al Fateh
5
Al Ahli SC
1
11.02.22SPL
Al Fateh
0
Al Ahli SC
1
17.09.21SPL
Al Ahli SC
1
Al Fateh
1
20.03.21SPL
Al Fateh
4
Al Ahli SC
1
22.12.20SPL
Al Ahli SC
1
Al Fateh
0
21.02.20SPL
Al Ahli SC
0
Al Fateh
1
Recent Results
Al Ahli SC
03.05.26SPL
Al Ahli SC
4
Al Okhdood
0
W
29.04.26SPL
Al Nassr
2
Al Ahli SC
0
L
25.04.26CL
Al Ahli SC
10
Machida
0
W
20.04.26CL
Vissel Kobe
1
Al Ahli SC
2
W
17.04.26CL
Al Ahli SC
2
Johor DT
1
W
13.04.26CL
Al Ahli SC
10
Al-Duhail
0
W
08.04.26SPL
Al Fayha
1
Al Ahli SC
1
D
04.04.26SPL
Al Ahli SC
3
Damac
0
W
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC
1
Al Hilal
2
L
13.03.26SPL
Al Qadsiah
3
Al Ahli SC
2
L
Al Fateh
02.05.26SPL
Al Fateh
2
Neom SC
2
D
28.04.26SPL
Al Shabab
1
Al Fateh
1
D
24.04.26SPL
Al Fateh
1
Al Khaleej
0
W
05.04.26SPL
Al Okhdood
1
Al Fateh
0
L
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh
0
Al Hilal
1
L
06.03.26SPL
Al Taawon
3
Al Fateh
2
L
26.02.26SPL
Al Fateh
1
Damac
1
D
23.02.26SPL
Al Fateh
2
Al Okhdood
1
W
19.02.26SPL
Al Ettifaq
4
Al Fateh
3
L
14.02.26SPL
Al Fateh
0
Al Nassr
2
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Al Ahli SC host Al Fateh in Saudi Professional League. Our analysis points to Al Ahli SC to win as the standout bet.

Al Ahli SC come into this showing mixed form, with 6W 1D 3L from 10 matches.

Al Fateh are struggling away, 2W 3D 5L in 10 games.

H2H: Al Ahli SC won 3 of 10 meetings vs Al Fateh's 5, 2 draws. BTTS in 50%.

With all factors considered, al ahli sc to win at 1.33 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this Saudi Professional League encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is 1, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.33 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Al Ahli SC vs Al Fateh?
Our pick is 1, Al Ahli SC to win at odds of ~1.33. Our prediction engine gives this a 48% confidence rating.
How has Al Ahli SC performed in their recent matches?
Al Ahli SC heads into this fixture with a record of 6W 1D 3L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Al Fateh?
Al Fateh has recorded 2W 3D 5L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Al Ahli SC and Al Fateh?
In their last 10 meetings, Al Ahli SC has won 3 times, Al Fateh has won 5 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.7 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 50% of their previous H2H encounters.
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