Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Tip LOST Kalju 1-2 Parnu JK Vaprus
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus in Estonia Meistriliiga.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence61%Kalju to win
Fair odds1.64Based on model probability
Price edge-19%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Sunday, 26th April 2026
K
Kalju
W L D W W
1-2
VS
P
Parnu JK Vaprus
W D L L L
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Kalju to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
decimal
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · GambleAware · GamCare
💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance80%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-23.8 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Kalju to win
@1.25
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85% H2H Over 2.580%
⚔ Head to Head
7
Kalju
2
Draws
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
Supports Kalju won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Kalju Parnu JK Vaprus
2.3 Goals / Game 0.9
1 Conceded / Game 2
30% Clean Sheets 20%
7-2-1 W-D-L 3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
70% 30%
📈 Form Ratings
Kalju
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
Parnu JK Vaprus
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
3.3
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
05.10.25ML
Kalju
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
10.08.25ML
Kalju
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
27.06.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
Kalju
2
01.03.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
Kalju
3
24.01.25CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
Kalju
3
09.11.24ML
Kalju
2
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
15.09.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
Kalju
4
03.07.24ML
Kalju
4
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
30.03.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
Kalju
2
07.10.23ML
Kalju
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
Recent Results
Kalju
05.10.25ML
Kalju
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
W
10.08.25ML
Kalju
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
L
27.06.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
Kalju
2
D
01.03.25ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
Kalju
3
L
24.01.25CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
Kalju
3
L
09.11.24ML
Kalju
2
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
W
15.09.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
Kalju
4
L
03.07.24ML
Kalju
4
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
W
30.03.24ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
Kalju
2
L
07.10.23ML
Kalju
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
D
Parnu JK Vaprus
21.04.26ML
Kuressaare
0
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
W
18.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
Tammeka
0
D
12.04.26ML
Flora
2
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
L
08.04.26ML
Levadia
2
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
L
04.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
Harju JK Laagri
2
L
21.03.26ML
Narva
2
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
L
14.03.26ML
Nomme Utd
7
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
L
10.03.26CUP
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
Tartu Welco
1
W
07.03.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
3
Paide
2
W
15.02.26CF
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
Narva
2
L
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Sunday, 26th April 2026, Kalju host Parnu JK Vaprus in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Kalju to win as the standout bet.

Kalju come into this in strong form, with 7W 2D 1L from 10 matches.

Parnu JK Vaprus are struggling away, 3W 1D 6L in 10 games.

H2H: Kalju won 7 of 10 meetings vs Parnu JK Vaprus's 1, 2 draws. BTTS in 70%.

With all factors considered, kalju to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this Estonia Meistriliiga encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is 1, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.25 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Our pick is 1, Kalju to win at odds of ~1.25. Our prediction engine gives this a 61% confidence rating.
How has Kalju performed in their recent matches?
Kalju heads into this fixture with a record of 7W 2D 1L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Parnu JK Vaprus?
Parnu JK Vaprus has recorded 3W 1D 6L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Kalju and Parnu JK Vaprus?
In their last 10 meetings, Kalju has won 7 times, Parnu JK Vaprus has won 1 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 3.1 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 70% of their previous H2H encounters.