Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

Tip WON Dortmund 3-2 Hamburger SV
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Dortmund vs Hamburger SV in Bundesliga.

Main tip1X Result market
Model confidence100%Dortmund to win or draw
Fair odds1.00Based on model probability
Price edge+13%Positive value if your bookmaker is close to this price
🏆 Bundesliga 📅 Saturday, 21st March 2026
D
Dortmund
W W L L D
3-2
VS
H
Hamburger SV
D W L L D
Expert Prediction
1X
Backing Dortmund to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.15
decimal
Confidence
100%
Strong Pick
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💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance87%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100+15 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide50%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: Positive value if your bookmaker is close to this price. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1X, Dortmund to win or draw
@1.15
Over 1.5 Goals85%
⚔ Head to Head
5
Dortmund
2
Draws
3
Hamburger SV
Mixed Not enough H2H data.
📊 Team Statistics
Dortmund Hamburger SV
2 Goals / Game 1.2
1.5 Conceded / Game 1
30% Clean Sheets 30%
6-1-3 W-D-L 3-5-2
Win Rate Comparison
60% 30%
📈 Form Ratings
Dortmund
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.0
Hamburger SV
Overall
4.5
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
08.11.25
BUN: Hamburger SV
1
Dortmund
1
10.02.18
BUN: Dortmund
2
Hamburger SV
0
20.09.17
BUN: Hamburger SV
0
Dortmund
3
04.04.17
BUN: Dortmund
3
Hamburger SV
0
05.11.16
BUN: Hamburger SV
2
Dortmund
5
17.04.16
BUN: Dortmund
3
Hamburger SV
0
20.11.15
BUN: Hamburger SV
3
Dortmund
1
07.03.15
BUN: Hamburger SV
0
Dortmund
0
04.10.14
BUN: Dortmund
0
Hamburger SV
1
22.02.14
BUN: Hamburger SV
3
Dortmund
0
Recent Results
Dortmund
14.03.26
BUN: Dortmund
2
Augsburg
0
W
07.03.26
BUN: FC Köln
1
Dortmund
2
W
28.02.26
BUN: Dortmund
2
Bayern Munich
3
L
25.02.26
UCL: Atalanta
4
Dortmund
1
L
21.02.26
BUN: RB Leipzig
2
Dortmund
2
D
17.02.26
UCL: Dortmund
2
Atalanta
0
W
13.02.26
BUN: Dortmund
4
Mainz
0
W
07.02.26
BUN: Wolfsburg
1
Dortmund
2
W
01.02.26
BUN: Dortmund
3
Heidenheim
2
W
28.01.26
UCL: Dortmund
0
Inter
2
L
Hamburger SV
14.03.26
BUN: Hamburger SV
1
FC Köln
1
D
07.03.26
BUN: Wolfsburg
1
Hamburger SV
2
W
04.03.26
BUN: Hamburger SV
0
Bayer Leverkusen
1
L
01.03.26
BUN: Hamburger SV
1
RB Leipzig
2
L
20.02.26
BUN: Mainz
1
Hamburger SV
1
D
14.02.26
BUN: Hamburger SV
3
Union Berlin
2
W
07.02.26
BUN: Heidenheim
0
Hamburger SV
2
W
31.01.26
BUN: Hamburger SV
2
Bayern Munich
2
D
23.01.26
BUN: St. Pauli
0
Hamburger SV
0
D
17.01.26
BUN: Hamburger SV
0
B. Monchengladbach
0
D
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Dortmund host Hamburger SV in Bundesliga. Our analysis points to Dortmund to win or draw as the standout bet.

Dortmund come into this showing mixed form, with 6W 1D 3L from 10 matches.

Hamburger SV are struggling away, 3W 5D 2L in 10 games.

H2H: Dortmund won 5 of 10 meetings vs Hamburger SV's 3, 2 draws. BTTS in 30%.

With all factors considered, dortmund to win or draw at 1.15 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this Bundesliga encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is 1X, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.15 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
Our pick is 1X, Dortmund to win or draw at odds of ~1.15. Our prediction engine gives this a 100% confidence rating.
How has Dortmund performed in their recent matches?
Dortmund heads into this fixture with a record of 6W 1D 3L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV?
Hamburger SV has recorded 3W 5D 2L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Dortmund and Hamburger SV?
In their last 10 meetings, Dortmund has won 5 times, Hamburger SV has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 2.9 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 30% of their previous H2H encounters.
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