Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Tip WON Benfica 3-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
TSP
Today Soccer Prediction match brief

Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction

A focused football betting preview covering the main tip, odds value, confidence rating, recent form, head to head numbers and responsible staking guidance for Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes in Liga Portugal.

Main tip1 Result market
Model confidence58%Benfica to win
Fair odds1.72Based on model probability
Price edge-16.1%The price looks tight against the model rating
🏆 Liga Portugal 📅 Saturday, 21st March 2026
B
Benfica
W D W L W
3-0
VS
V
Vitoria Guimaraes
L L D L W
Expert Prediction
1
Backing Benfica to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.35
decimal
Confidence
58%
Solid Pick
H 50%D 30%A 20%
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · GambleAware · GamCare
💹 Betting Value Lab
Market typeResult marketClassifies the main selection so bettors can compare it with similar prices.
Implied chance74.1%What the displayed decimal odds suggest before bookmaker margin.
Expected value per 100-21.7 unitsUses model probability against the available price.
Half Kelly guide0%A conservative staking reference, never a staking instruction.
Value note: The price looks tight against the model rating. Always compare several bookmakers, check team news close to kick off and avoid chasing losses.
Stake calculator
Potential return0
Net profit0
Expected value0
✅ Bettor Checklist
Check team news

Confirm lineups, injuries, rotation and goalkeeper changes before committing to the pick.

Compare prices

Small odds differences matter over time. Take the best regulated price available in your location.

Control stake size

Use fixed units, keep records and treat the confidence score as a guide rather than a guarantee.

⚡ Supporting Bets
Main pick
1, Benfica to win
@1.35
BTTS No65% H2H Over 2.580%
⚔ Head to Head
7
Benfica
3
Draws
0
Vitoria Guimaraes
Supports Benfica won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Team Statistics
Benfica Vitoria Guimaraes
1.8 Goals / Game 0
1.1 Conceded / Game 0
20% Clean Sheets 0%
6-2-2 W-D-L 3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
60% 30%
📈 Form Ratings
Benfica
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Vitoria Guimaraes
Overall
3.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
📜 Match History
Head to Head
01.11.25
LP: Vitória Guimarães
0
Benfica
3
19.04.25
LP: Vitória Guimarães
0
Benfica
3
07.12.24
LP: Benfica
1
Vitória Guimarães
0
11.02.24
LP: Vitória Guimarães
2
Benfica
2
02.09.23
LP: Benfica
4
Vitória Guimarães
0
18.03.23
LP: Benfica
5
Vitória Guimarães
1
01.10.22
LP: Vitória Guimarães
0
Benfica
0
27.02.22
LP: Benfica
3
Vitória Guimarães
0
27.10.21
CUP: Vitória Guimarães
3
Benfica
3
25.09.21
LP: Vitória Guimarães
1
Benfica
3
Recent Results
Benfica
14.03.26
LP: Arouca
1
Benfica
2
W
08.03.26
LP: Benfica
2
FC Porto
2
D
02.03.26
LP: Gil Vicente
1
Benfica
2
W
25.02.26
CL: Real Madrid
2
Benfica
1
L
21.02.26
LP: Benfica
3
AFS
0
W
17.02.26
CL: Benfica
0
Real Madrid
1
L
13.02.26
LP: Santa Clara
1
Benfica
2
W
08.02.26
LP: Benfica
2
Alverca
1
W
01.02.26
LP: Tondela
0
Benfica
0
D
28.01.26
CL: Benfica
4
Real Madrid
2
W
Vitoria Guimaraes
14.03.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
1
Famalicão
2
L
08.03.26
LP: Santa Clara
2
Vitória Guimarães
0
L
28.02.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
1
Alverca
1
D
21.02.26
LP: Braga
3
Vitória Guimarães
2
L
14.02.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
2
Estrela
1
W
07.02.26
LP: Arouca
3
Vitória Guimarães
2
L
30.01.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
1
Moreirense
0
W
24.01.26
LP: Estoril
4
Vitória Guimarães
2
L
18.01.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
0
FC Porto
1
L
10.01.26
CUP: Vitória Guimarães
2
Braga
1
W
📝 Tactical Analysis

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Benfica host Vitoria Guimaraes in Liga Portugal. Our analysis points to Benfica to win as the standout bet.

Benfica come into this showing mixed form, with 6W 2D 2L from 10 matches.

Vitoria Guimaraes are struggling away, 3W 1D 6L in 10 games.

H2H: Benfica won 7 of 10 meetings vs Vitoria Guimaraes's 0, 3 draws. BTTS in 40%.

With all factors considered, benfica to win at 1.35 represents the strongest value angle here.


Locking down a safe bet requires some serious digging into the stats, making this Liga Portugal encounter a brilliant option for careful punters. Success here means leaving your team loyalties behind and just trusting the math to do the heavy lifting. The home camp’s situation is the very first thing we look at.

Their standard form sets the baseline market price, but seasoned bettors always look a little deeper. Breaking down their latest matches reveals the clear truth about their attacking sharpness and defensive solidity right now. The away team arrives with a different set of numbers to crunch.

We have to contrast their season-long form with the urgent reality of their last few games to see if they are a trap or a genuinely smart play. Historical rivalries are equally crucial to getting this right. A deep dive into their past meetings often exposes recurring advantages that standard models totally ignore.

Blending those historical patterns with today’s form guides us to a concrete and confident choice. Taking all points into account, the standout wager is obvious. Our featured pick is 1, representing the smartest entry to the market at the available @1.35 odds.

Once the game is in-play, the betting window closes. Ultimately, the final score will validate our data-driven approach. Do not miss our other daily choices.

📌 Prediction Method

How we read this match: the page combines form trends, head to head data, scoring patterns, clean sheet rates, market type and listed odds to shape a practical betting view.

The numbers support the preview, but football remains volatile. Treat this as a researched opinion, compare prices and only bet with money set aside for entertainment.

❓ FAQ
What is the best betting tip for Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Our pick is 1, Benfica to win at odds of ~1.35. Our prediction engine gives this a 58% confidence rating.
How has Benfica performed in their recent matches?
Benfica heads into this fixture with a record of 6W 2D 2L from their last 10 games.
What is the recent form of Vitoria Guimaraes?
Vitoria Guimaraes has recorded 3W 1D 6L across their last 10 matches.
What is the Head-to-Head (H2H) record between Benfica and Vitoria Guimaraes?
In their last 10 meetings, Benfica has won 7 times, Vitoria Guimaraes has won 0 times, and there have been 3 draws.
Are we expecting a high-scoring match (Over/Under 2.5 Goals)?
Recent matches involving these teams average 1.5 goals per game. Furthermore, BTTS has landed in 40% of their previous H2H encounters.
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